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The “AI Boom” is entering its speculative phase.
Valuations in core names — NVDA, PLTR, SMCI, and even peripheral AI plays — have detached from earnings visibility. Forward multiples are expanding faster than revenue revisions, and market psychology is shifting from “growth opportunity” to “greater fool momentum.”

Michael Burry’s recent short positioning highlights the same risk: an AI trade that’s fundamentally sound in narrative, but stretched in price. Capex continues to rise across hyperscalers, yet the monetization lag in enterprise AI remains material — the revenue curve simply isn’t matching the spending curve.

At this stage of the cycle, investors are not buying fundamentals — they’re buying hope.
And as every bubble teaches: hope burns fuel fast.

Protege9’s take:
AI isn’t a fraud.
But the speed at which investors expect profit is.

#Protege9 #Protege9Group #AIBubble #AIStocks #MichaelBurry #MacroTrading #MarketCycle #TechValuations #HedgeFundLife #MacroInvesting #MarketMeme #FinanceMeme #LongShort #ValuationBubble #AITrade #EarningsSeason #MacroWeekAhead #TradingHumor #InvestmentCycle #SpeculativeFrenzy #Protege9Bull

The market wrote Freshpet off after growth slowed but the business never broke.
Capex was cut nearly 40%, free cash flow turned positive, and margins are steady at ~46%.
Management has pivoted from expansion to efficiency — and that’s exactly what re-rates a stock in a mature consumer packaged goods cycle.

Freshpet isn’t chasing growth anymore.
It’s executing for profitability — and the market is just beginning to notice.

#Protege9 #Protege9Group #MarketInsights #FRPT #Freshpet #ConsumerStocks #MarginExpansion #Cashflow #EarningsMomentum #TradingInsights #FundamentalsMatter #HedgeFundStrategy #marketrepricing #LongShort #StockIdeas #MacroInvesting #EquityResearch #ConsumerDiscretionary #marketreset

Housing, the Fed, and fresh PMI data headline this week’s macro lineup.

Wednesday’s Building Permits and Housing Starts will gauge how construction is holding up under tight credit conditions.
On Thursday, all eyes turn to the FOMC Minutes — markets will be dissecting every word for signals on when rate cuts might begin.
The week wraps with Flash PMIs, offering the first look at November business activity across manufacturing and services.

Protege9’s take:
The Fed’s tone will set the rhythm — housing and PMIs will show whether the economy can still keep pace.

#Protege9 #Protege9Group #MarketCalendar #MacroWeekAhead #FOMCMinutes #PMI #HousingStarts #BuildingPermits #UnemploymentClaims #EconomicData #USMarkets #MacroTrading #TradingWeek #DataWatch #MarketVolatility #Investing #FinanceInsights #HedgeFundStrategy #LongShort #MacroInvesting #rateswatch

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MARKET SNAPSHOTS

THE PROTEGE9 VIEW

We will post periodic essays or thought pieces covering macro trends, behavioural insights, and reflections on risk and opportunity.

AI: Bubble, or the Boom You Don’t Fight

AI today is both the most overhyped and the most consequential story in markets. It’s an industry built on staggering optimism — and for now, that optimism is the fundamental. Betting against it may be more dangerous than being wrong with it. The Oracle–OpenAI Reflex Loop Oracle’s stock is a perfect case study in narrative-driven valuation. After announcing roughly US$300 billion in future infrastructure contracts with OpenAI — deals yet to be paid for or fully executed — t

Nov 143 min read

Why Psychology Has No Place in Professional Long/Short Trading

Let’s get one thing straight: If you think trading is a psychological game, you’re not trading — you’re journaling with a brokerage account. Every retail course, YouTube guru, and pop-finance influencer loves to tell you that “mindset is everything.” They talk about fear, greed, discipline, and how to “master emotions.” Cute. Professionals don’t do any of that. Because in institutional long/short trading, the whole point of having a framework is to make psychology irrelevan

Oct 204 min read